Across the Irish sea

Today's news on the Republic's financial woes led me to have a look what the polling figures are like there at the moment.

A quick search led to this poll by Millward Brown Lansdowne

The Topline figures are (2007 results in brackets)
Fianna Fail 22% (41.6%)
Fine Gael 30% (27.3%)
Labour 35% (10.1%)
Green Party 2% (4.7%)
Sinn Fein 4% (6.9%)
Independents/Others 8% (7%)

The main story is how the Labour party has gone from the also ran party to a clear lead. This could really be the end of Fianna Fail/Fine Gael dominance in Dublin. It also goes to show that in turbulent times party fortunes can change incredibly quickly.

Labour list poll of members

Ask and it shall be delivered...

Thanks to Ryan for providing a link to LabourList's survey of members.

Firstly a couple of health warnings, 1st I don't know how big this sample is and 2nd like with the Lib Dem Voice these people are only representative of hardcore activists.

But there are two or three interesting findings. The first is that a plurality (42% to 33%) will vote against AV. This is probably a hint that Labour will play absoloutely no part in the Yes campaign. Secondly these activists seem to favour a primary system. This is counterintuative as most activists tend to prefer a system where members pick candidates. Finally Peter Hain beats the magic "50% know who I am" test but only by 3%. The only Labour politician getting a negative rating is Shaun Woodwood. This is probably becuase Labour List are the most die-hard and tribalist Labour supporters and Shaun Woodwood is a famous defector. Never forget and never forgive...