Yougov Figures are
Constituency
Labour 44%
Plaid 21%
Tory 21%
Lib Dem 9%
Other 6%
Regional
Labour 41%
Plaid 20%
Tory 20%
Lib Dem 9%
Ukip 4%
Our predictor puts it at
Labour 29 seats
Plaid 14
Tory 13
Lib Dems 4
Good for Labour, Ok for Plaid and Tories, disaster for the Lib Dems.
Update
I've updated the graphs and predictor with the new figures.
Showing posts with label Welsh Poll. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Welsh Poll. Show all posts
Wednesday, 24 November 2010
Tuesday, 23 November 2010
Yougov Wales poll tomorrow
We're already at that time of the month when another Welsh Yougov poll is on its way (as long as their keeping to the last wed of the month system). Its amazing how exciting I still find these but the novelty definitely hasn't worn off yet. ITV Wales really deserve our thanks for commisioning these polls.
Out of interest here is how ICM and Yougov's UK polls have changed this month
ICM 21st November compared with ICM 24th October
Labour 38% (+2%)
Conservative 36% (-3%)
Lib Dem 14% (-2%)
Yougov 22nd of November compared with 21st of October
Labour 38% (+2%)
Conservative 41% (no change)
Lib Dem 11% (+1%)
All in all there's not much change this month in the UK so no reason to expect any massive changes in Wales...
Out of interest here is how ICM and Yougov's UK polls have changed this month
ICM 21st November compared with ICM 24th October
Labour 38% (+2%)
Conservative 36% (-3%)
Lib Dem 14% (-2%)
Yougov 22nd of November compared with 21st of October
Labour 38% (+2%)
Conservative 41% (no change)
Lib Dem 11% (+1%)
All in all there's not much change this month in the UK so no reason to expect any massive changes in Wales...
Monday, 22 November 2010
Yougov Polls
I've added a page with the most up to date figures from Yougov. Hopefully they'll be of some use.
Tuesday, 2 November 2010
Yougov Researchers poll
A new poll in the Westen Mail today gives us a clue about how the people in Wales are responding to the cuts.
The main headlines seem to be that 56% think the cuts are too fast and that unlike in England more Welsh people blame the Con - Lib coalition for the cuts than blame Labour. (34% - 32%).
Its also interesting to note that Lib Dem voters (like everybody else) think that Wales is facing bigger cuts than the rest of the UK. How damaging this is for the yellow party can be seen from there response in the WM article. What they say is fine, blaming Lab-PC spin for leading the Welsh public astray, what's interesting is that whilst Carwyn Jones, Nick Ramsay and Nerys Evans were all willing to put their names to quotes the Lib Dems had to rely on a "spokesman". This is always a sure sign of who is hurt most by an article.
So far we haven't had the data set for this poll so we can't say if they did voting intentions or not (I'm guessing not). I'll keep an eye on yougov today and update when its available.
The main headlines seem to be that 56% think the cuts are too fast and that unlike in England more Welsh people blame the Con - Lib coalition for the cuts than blame Labour. (34% - 32%).
Its also interesting to note that Lib Dem voters (like everybody else) think that Wales is facing bigger cuts than the rest of the UK. How damaging this is for the yellow party can be seen from there response in the WM article. What they say is fine, blaming Lab-PC spin for leading the Welsh public astray, what's interesting is that whilst Carwyn Jones, Nick Ramsay and Nerys Evans were all willing to put their names to quotes the Lib Dems had to rely on a "spokesman". This is always a sure sign of who is hurt most by an article.
So far we haven't had the data set for this poll so we can't say if they did voting intentions or not (I'm guessing not). I'll keep an eye on yougov today and update when its available.
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