Showing posts with label Westminster. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Westminster. Show all posts

Friday, 24 December 2010

Ipsos Mori regional monitor

Apologies that I missed this when it first came out. Ipsos have re-weighed all of their polls from June to November and then produced regional breakdowns of westminster voting intentions.

The Welsh result was (change from 2010 Westminster result)

Con 22% (-4%)
Lab 40% (+4%)
Lib 14% (-6%)
PC 16% (+5%)

It needs to be remembered that most of the polls in this were before Lib Dem support really hit the rocks in November but it gives a good idea of how quickly Labour recovered. It's unlikely we will see another Westminster election for a few years and when we do it should be on new boundaries so it is impossible to make any seat predictions until we get those new boundaries.

Tuesday, 2 November 2010

Yougov Researchers poll

A new poll in the Westen Mail today gives us a clue about how the people in Wales are responding to the cuts.

The main headlines seem to be that 56% think the cuts are too fast and that unlike in England more Welsh people blame the Con - Lib coalition for the cuts than blame Labour. (34% - 32%).

Its also interesting to note that Lib Dem voters (like everybody else) think that Wales is facing bigger cuts than the rest of the UK. How damaging this is for the yellow party can be seen from there response in the WM article. What they say is fine, blaming Lab-PC spin for leading the Welsh public astray, what's interesting is that whilst Carwyn Jones, Nick Ramsay and Nerys Evans were all willing to put their names to quotes the Lib Dems had to rely on a "spokesman". This is always a sure sign of who is hurt most by an article.

So far we haven't had the data set for this poll so we can't say if they did voting intentions or not (I'm guessing not). I'll keep an eye on yougov today and update when its available.