Thursday 11 November 2010

How will yesterday effect the polls?

The new Yougov daily polling means that we can get an idea of how the news impacts opinion within 48hrs of an event. Therefore tomorrow morning we will probably find out what effect yesterday's protests (and riot) have had on the polls.

There will hardly be anyone left in the country who doesn't know about the Lib Dem U-turn on tuition fees and they will definitely have lost their USP of being the "nice" party. Their vote amongst students will obviously have been hit hard. On the other hand people don't like riots and disorder and that could definitely benefit Clegg. Also he's had a lot of coverage and that usually helps. My personal guess is that we will see the Lib-Dem below 10% again at least once by the end of next week. But then again my predictions are notoriously bad.

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