Following on from the Welsh Lib Dems dropping to 8% with yougov, the daily tracker has today got them down in single figures for the first time that I can remember (9%). They definitely haven't been this low since prior to 1997.
Now there are a lot of possible reasons for this. Firstly as many lib dems have pointed out, yougov is giving particularly low Lib-Dem scores and most phone pollsters have them at least 5% higher. Secondly this is nearly certainly an outlier. The Lib Dems seem to be polling 11-13% with yougov, if you keep polling every day random error will in the end see the vote go below 10%. There are also some possible issues with Yougovs methodology which Mike Smithson has raised on political betting .
But whatever the excuses things are not looking good for the Lib Dems. A lot of the polling for this poll would have taken place before people watched the footage on tuition fees and this subject really is not going to go down well with Lib Dem supporters. Mike Smithson, a former Lib Dem candidate, had this to say "So they’ve got a bit of embarrassment now - well tough shit. They should have asked questions before making such public commitments." Couldn't agree more.
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